|
|
|
Scientific
Publications - Work Done by Microbiology Reader
Statistical evaluation of mathematical models for microbial growth
|
| |
ABSTRACT |
|---|
The aim of this study was to evaluate the suitability of several mathematical
functions for describing microbial growth curves. The nonlinear functions used
were: three-phase linear, logistic, Gompertz, Von Bertalanffy, Richards, Morgan,
Weibull, France and Baranyi. Two data sets were used, one comprising 21 growth
curves of different bacterial and fungal species in which growth was expressed
as optical density units, and one comprising 34 curves of colony forming units
counted on plates of Yersinia enterocolitica grown under different conditions of
pH, temperature and CO(2) (time-constant conditions for each culture). For both
sets, curves were selected to provide a wide variety of shapes with different
growth rates and lag times. Statistical criteria used to evaluate model
performance were analysis of residuals (residual distribution, bias factor and
serial correlation) and goodness-of-fit (residual mean square, accuracy factor,
extra residual variance F-test, and Akaike's information criterion). The models
showing the best overall performance were the Baranyi, three-phase linear,
Richards and Weibull models. The goodness-of-fit attained with other models can
be considered acceptable, but not as good as that reached with the best four
models. Overall, the Baranyi model showed the best behaviour for the growth
curves studied according to a variety of criteria. The Richards model was the
best-fitting optical density data, whereas the three-phase linear showed some
limitations when fitting these curves, despite its consistent performance when
fitting plate counts. Our results indicate that the common use of the Gompertz
model to describe microbial growth should be reconsidered critically, as the
Baranyi, three-phase linear, Richards and Weibull models showed a significantly
superior ability to fit experimental data than the extensively used Gompertz.
© 2005
Transgalactic Ltd (manufacturer of Bioscreen C software) |
Privacy Statement | P.O. Box
1393, 00101 Helsinki, Finland,
Last modified: May 25, 2005
| ||||||